Probabilistic Projections of HIV Prevalence Using Bayesian Melding • Leontine Alkema, University of Washington ; Adrian Raftery, University of Washington ; Samuel J. Clark, University of Washington

Projecting U.S. Household Changes with a New Household Model • Leiwen Jiang, Brown University ; Brian C. O'Neill, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA)

Modeling Seasonal Effects on the Lexis Surface • Roland Rau, Duke University ; Jutta Gampe, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research ; Paul H. Eilers, Leids Universitair Medisch Centrum (LUMC) ; Brian D. Marx, Louisiana State University

Connecting Fundamental Concepts of Human Aging: A Statistical Modeling Perspective • Anatoliy I. Yashin, Duke University ; Konstantin G. Arbeev, Duke University ; Igor Akushevich, Duke University ; Aliaksandr Kulminski, Duke University ; Lucy Akushevich, Duke University ; Svetlana V. Ukraintseva, Duke University